Philipp GauslingBewertung und Management von Risiken internationaler Großprojekte

About this book deutschenglish

The number of international megaprojects has increased enormously in recent years. Global spending on major projects now amounts to almost US$ 9 trillion per year, which corresponds to about 8 % of global GDP. Thus, the total investment in major projects is higher than ever before. The complexity of several large-scale projects is so great that it considerably exceeds the coordination skills of individual special purpose vehicles. For this reason, grave shortcomings in the management of megaprojects are increasingly apparent, as evidenced during the recent construction of the Berlin Brandenburg Airport or the Elbe Philharmonic Hall in Hamburg. These deficiencies result in high cost overruns and delays.

Against this background, the author proposes to address this highly controversial area of risk management. First, taking the example of the international megaproject DESERTEC, he develops a business plan, which allows him to appropriately evaluate the project. The author shows that the assessment of risks in business plans can fundamentally change the decision situation of project stakeholders. Moreover, the author shows that the integration of interest-specific target figures in the business plan allows a simultaneous evaluation of the perspective of various stakeholders including equity providers, outside creditors and states. Furthermore, the author also concerns himself with the partitioning of international megaprojects, presenting a way to improve the risk management of these large-scale projects, which has not yet been considered in the scientific literature.

This study contributes to the literature by providing a framework to adequately evaluate risk management measures of major projects. In addition, it provides initial findings on the partitioning of international megaprojects. For practitioners, on the one hand, this study provides a methodology to reduce the risk of an erroneous assessment when planning megaprojects. On the other hand, the study also offers an opportunity to improve the risk situation and hence the profitability of megaprojects using partitioning.

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